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Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?
polymarket

Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?

Volume:
$24,311

<5

 - Polymarket

<5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 2:01 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$4,782
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

10-14

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25-29

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,881
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30-34

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,881
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-24

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,831
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35-39

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

5-9

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15-19

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

55-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-54

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-44

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

45-49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Khamenei social media activity market dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price history for whether Supreme Leader Khamenei will post a specific number of messages between August 28 and September 4, 2026. You can also view the 24-hour volume of $2,917 to gauge trader interest. This single-venue view shows how the market evaluates the likelihood of this political communication event unfolding as expected.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. Specifically, it settles based on the official count of Khamenei’s posts across recognized social media platforms within the August 28 to September 4 window. No manual adjustments or interpretations are needed — the result is binary once the period ends and data are publicly available.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 4, 2026. Scheduled speeches, state visits, or major political announcements by Khamenei are key catalysts — each may increase the probability of additional social media activity. Conversely, silence or a formal reduction in public engagements could push odds downward. Traders will also watch for technical issues or platform outages that might temporarily affect post counts, as well as any unexpected developments in Iran’s domestic or foreign policy landscape.