TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
polymarket

Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?

Volume:
$20,722

<5

 - Polymarket

<5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 2:02 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

5-9

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10-14

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15-19

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-24

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30-34

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25-29

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

55-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-54

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-44

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

45-49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the Khamenei posting frequency market, reflecting trader sentiment about whether Khamenei will post a certain number of times between August 21 and August 28, 2026. It displays current top-outcome chances, historical price charts, and 24-hour volume of $2,418. The market price represents the collective expectation of participants on Polymarket regarding the upcoming posting activity of Khamenei over the specified week.

This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to official accounts, reputable news outlets, and verified data sources to determine whether the posting count meets the defined thresholds. The process ensures an objective assessment based on publicly available records, without reliance on internal assessments or speculation.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes: official announcements from Khamenei’s office about scheduled addresses, political developments in Iran that influence his public engagement, and unexpected health or security situations affecting his ability to post. Additionally, broader regional tensions or diplomatic activity might increase or decrease the perceived likelihood of frequent communications, prompting rapid changes in trader sentiment and market prices.