TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
polymarket

Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

Volume:
$20,831

<5

 - Polymarket

<5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 2:05 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

5-9

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10-14

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15-19

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30-34

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,445
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25-29

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,019
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-24

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

55-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$449
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-54

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

45-49

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-44

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Khamenei posting frequency market, alongside 24-hour volume of $1,656. It shows how traders on this single venue are pricing the likelihood of different posting ranges by Khamenei over the specified week. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity as the event window approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the exact post count from Khamenei is verifiable from credible public reporting over the defined dates. The result will match the announced range on the platform, closing all positions based on the observed tally. No further adjustment occurs after that point.

Major moves in this market will likely follow news about Khamenei's health, scheduled addresses, or unexpected political developments. For example, an announced public appearance or a period of silence could shift expectations quickly. Additionally, broader geopolitical tension — especially involving Iran — might affect traders' views on his communication cadence, producing noticeable price swings before Aug 25, 2026.