TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
polymarket

Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?

Volume:
$21,305

<5

 - Polymarket

<5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 2:07 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

5-9

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,026
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10-14

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,018
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15-19

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25-29

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,416
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30-34

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-24

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

55-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$437
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-54

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35-39

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-44

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

45-49

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the Khamenei posting frequency market, showing how traders value the likelihood of different posting ranges by Aug 21, 2026. It displays current top-outcome chances alongside 24-hour volume of $2,418 to reflect market activity. The chart illustrates price history, letting users see shifts in sentiment as new information emerges, all within a single venue's framework.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. Traders will compare the final post count against the defined ranges to determine which bucket — from low to high — accurately reflects the actual activity during the week in question.

This market could shift based on Khamenei’s public activity patterns, schedule announcements, or geopolitical developments affecting his media appearances. Major speeches, state visits, or unexpected pauses in posting behavior may cause rapid price changes. Traders will also watch for platform-specific volume spikes around news events, as betting patterns on Polymarket often amplify small signals into broader market movements before Aug 21, 2026.