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Kentucky's 4th District Primary margin of victory
kalshi

Kentucky's 4th District Primary margin of victory

Volume:
$124,577

Thomas Massie, 4+ pts

 - Kalshi

Thomas Massie, 4+ pts - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 8:23 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Thomas Massie, 4+ pts

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,841
N/A
N/A
$32,232
1y 1mo
No
kalshi

Thomas Massie, 2+ pts

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,614
N/A
N/A
$15,097
1y 1mo
No
kalshi

Thomas Massie, 6+ pts

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,663
N/A
N/A
$13,962
1y 1mo
No
kalshi

Thomas Massie, 10+ pts

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,331
N/A
N/A
$9,901
1y 1mo
No
kalshi

Thomas Massie, 8+ pts

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,129
N/A
N/A
$5,866
1y 1mo
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Thomas Massie will win Kentucky's 4th District House Primary by at least 8 percentage points. The leading outcome currently stands at 80.0%, with a secondary outcome of at least 4 percentage points at 10.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official primary election results as reported for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives Primary in Kentucky's 4th District. Watch the primary election results on November 3, 2027, when the margin of victory will be finalized and the market will settle.