TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 8:21 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Kansas voters will approve a proposed constitutional amendment concerning the selection method for state Supreme Court Justices in the 2026 election. On Kalshi, the probability of the amendment passing stands at 49.5%. Resolution will be determined by the official results of the 2026 Kansas Elections as reported by state authorities. Watch for campaign messaging and voter sentiment shifts as the August 4, 2026 election date approaches, which will signal how the amendment is resonating with Kansas voters.
If Yes wins the 2026 Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment, then the market resolves to Yes.
Several catalysts could shift odds on Kalshi before Jan 1, 2027. Major campaign announcements by amendment supporters or opponents, endorsements from prominent Kansas political figures, and shifts in voter registration or early voting data would likely move the market. Court rulings affecting ballot language or eligibility, media coverage of judicial performance, and changes to the proposed election method itself could also trigger repricing. Polling releases specific to this amendment would provide direct signals about voter sentiment. Additionally, broader political momentum in Kansas—such as turnout patterns in other races or statewide ballot initiatives—may influence how traders assess the amendment's chances of passage.