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Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory
polymarket

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory

Volume:
$20,532

Masterson 20–25%

 - Polymarket

Masterson 20–25% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 6:08 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Masterson 20–25%

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,667
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Masterson 25%+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Masterson <5%

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sarnecki <5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Masterson 10–15%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Masterson 15–20%

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Masterson 5–10%

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sarnecki 10%+

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sarnecki 5–10%

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Polymarket

The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Kansas Governor GOP margin market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $890 for this specific prediction. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the potential margin of victory for the Republican nominee in the Kansas Governor race. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect the latest betting activity and market sentiment, giving users a clear view of where the market stands at any moment.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent possible margins of victory. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about the likely spread between the top two candidates. As new information emerges — such as endorsements, campaign developments, or shifts in voter sentiment — the market price adjusts based on trading volume and order flow on Polymarket.

This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official election results are verified against credible public sources. The final margin of victory will be calculated from certified vote tallies, and this market settles based on the difference between the top two Republican candidates' vote counts as reported by authoritative news outlets and election officials.

Key events that could shift this market include major candidate debates, surprise endorsements, scandals or gaffes affecting candidate viability, and shifts in polling data. Economic announcements, state-specific issues gaining national attention, and changes in campaign strategy can also influence trader sentiment. As election day approaches, betting activity often intensifies, especially after final polls are released or early voting trends become clear, potentially causing rapid price movements.