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Politics
Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
polymarket

Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

Volume:
$8,295

United Russia

 - Polymarket

United Russia - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 23, 2026

Closed: Sep 23, 4:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

United Russia

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.4¢
N/A
$3,699
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Yabloko

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

LDPR

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CPRF

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$877
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

A Just Russia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

New People

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 1

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 2

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 3

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 4

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 5

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 6

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 7

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 8

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 9

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 10

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 11

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 12

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 13

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 14

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 15

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 16

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 17

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party 18

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.

Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Kaliningrad Parliament party winner market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for bets on which party will win. It shows how traders price the likelihood of each party’s victory as the election approaches, with updates reflecting market activity. The interface displays current chances for the leading party alongside total volume of $8,281 and recent 24-hour volume of $1,900, giving users a live view of sentiment and betting patterns on Polymarket for this market.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of valid votes will determine the winning party, and the market will settle accordingly based on official announcements. Timing depends on how quickly results are certified, but the market is designed to close as soon as the outcome is beyond doubt.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including major polling updates, debates or public appearances by key candidates, shifts in campaign funding or media coverage, and any geopolitical developments affecting voter sentiment in Kaliningrad. Unexpected events such as scandals, policy announcements, or changes in voter turnout expectations can also cause rapid price movements. Traders will be watching these cues closely as they refine their positions.