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June Producer Inflation China - Annual
limitless

June Producer Inflation China - Annual

Volume:
$8,098

4.0–4.4%

 - Limitless

4.0–4.4% - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 10:13 AM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

4.0–4.4%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4.9¢
N/A
$1,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

<3.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

3.5–3.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

5.0%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

4.5–4.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This is a market about the variation of producer prices in China over the 12-month period ending June 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial products during the 12-month period ending June 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Industrial Producer Price Index monthly report released for June 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in July 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for June 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Industrial Producer Price Index in June 2026", and finding the producer price indexes for industrial products figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS PPI news release which reports producer price changes during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

Limitless

This is a market about the variation of producer prices in China over the 12-month period ending June 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial products during the 12-month period ending June 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Industrial Producer Price Index monthly report released for June 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in July 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for June 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Industrial Producer Price Index in June 2026", and finding the producer price indexes for industrial products figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS PPI news release which reports producer price changes during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

Frequently asked questions

The China producer inflation market on Limitless tracks real-time trader positions and odds on the June annual producer price index reading for China. The dashboard displays current market prices, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading activity, giving you a live window into how prediction market participants are pricing expectations around this key economic indicator. You can monitor shifting sentiment as new data or economic signals emerge, all within a single unified interface dedicated to this specific inflation metric.

Prediction market odds often diverge from consensus analyst forecasts because traders incorporate real-time information, uncertainty premiums, and tail-risk scenarios that traditional surveys may not fully capture. While economists and financial institutions publish point estimates and ranges for producer inflation, this market aggregates the collective judgment of many participants betting real capital on the outcome. Comparing the implied probability here to published analyst consensus can reveal where the market is pricing in more or less optimism than the mainstream view.

On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different outcome ranges or point estimates. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity. As new information arrives or sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread and midpoint prices adjust in real time to reflect updated market expectations.

This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the June producer inflation data for China is released and verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official annual rate published by China's National Bureau of Statistics or equivalent authoritative economic data. Until that point, traders can continue to adjust positions based on leading indicators, policy announcements, and other signals that may influence the final reading.

Key catalysts include monthly manufacturing PMI releases, commodity price movements, central bank policy decisions, and any revisions to prior inflation readings. Global supply chain developments, energy prices, and currency fluctuations can all influence producer-level costs in China. Unexpected economic data from major trading partners or shifts in domestic demand could also shift trader expectations. Watch for official guidance from Chinese policymakers and any surprises in upstream inflation before the June report arrives.