TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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June Inflation US - Monthly
polymarket

June Inflation US - Monthly

Volume:
$52,283

≤0.1%

 - Polymarket

≤0.1% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 14, 2026

Closed: Jul 14, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

≤0.1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.3%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,527
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.4%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,659
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,970
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.6%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,916
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

≥0.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Polymarket

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Frequently asked questions

June Inflation US - Monthly is priced on Polymarket through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probability quotes for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices reflect the collective willingness of traders to stake capital on specific inflation ranges or thresholds. As new economic data, Fed communications, or employment reports emerge, traders adjust positions, moving prices up or down. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates market liquidity and conviction around the most likely outcome.

The June Inflation US - Monthly market resolves on Jul 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official inflation data release for June, which establishes the factual basis for determining which outcome occurred. The specific metric and thresholds used to settle the market are defined at market creation and remain fixed throughout the trading period. Once the data is published and verified, the market automatically settles to the correct outcome and traders receive payouts based on their positions.

Key catalysts for June Inflation US - Monthly include monthly employment reports, producer price data, consumer spending figures, and Federal Reserve communications on monetary policy. Unexpected jobless claims, wage growth surprises, or energy price swings can shift inflation expectations. Geopolitical events affecting commodity markets, supply chain disruptions, or shifts in consumer demand also influence trader positioning. Real-time market moves often precede official inflation data as traders react to leading indicators and revise their probability assessments based on incoming economic signals.