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June 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents
kalshi

June 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents

Volume:
$38,767

Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0

 - Kalshi

Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0 - Kalshi

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 17, 1:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,745
N/A
N/A
$10,988
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: >0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,226
N/A
N/A
$9,341
Settled
No
kalshi

Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: >0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,832
N/A
N/A
$2,261
Settled
No
kalshi

Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$963
N/A
N/A
$873
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Intro

This market tracks whether the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady with unanimous agreement among policymakers at its June 2026 meeting. On Kalshi, the probability that the Federal Funds Rate Decision will be no change AND dissents will be zero stands at 66.0%. Resolution is determined by official Federal Reserve announcements regarding the rate decision and voting outcomes. Watch the Fed's June 17, 2026 policy decision announcement to see whether the committee maintains its current stance without any dissenting votes.

Kalshi

This is a combination market requiring all specified outcomes to occur simultaneously for the contract to pay out. The Federal Funds Rate Decision component resolves according to the FEDDECISION ruleset, while the Dissents component uses the FOMCDISSENTCOUNT ruleset. If any single component fails to occur or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Resolution uses the first officially released value for economic data, not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified. All conditions must be satisfied within the June 2026 meeting period.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi represent real-money bets from traders and investors, whereas polling averages typically reflect surveys of economists or Fed watchers. Markets incorporate forward-looking expectations and incentivize accuracy through financial stakes, often diverging from analyst consensus when new economic data emerges. For the June 2026 Fed Combo outcome, market participants are pricing in specific probabilities based on current inflation trends, employment data, and Fed communications. Unlike polls, prediction markets update continuously and reflect the aggregated judgment of active traders rather than a snapshot of expert opinion at a single moment.

The market resolves on Jun 17, 2026, following the Federal Reserve's June 2026 policy announcement. Resolution depends on two simultaneous conditions: whether the Federal Funds Rate decision results in no change from the current target range, and whether zero officials dissent from that decision. Both conditions must be true for the affirmative outcome to resolve yes. The outcome is determined by official Federal Reserve statements and voting records released immediately after the FOMC meeting concludes.

Key catalysts include monthly inflation reports, employment data, and GDP growth figures, all of which influence Fed rate expectations. Fed communications—speeches, testimonies, and policy guidance—signal the likelihood of a rate hold versus a cut or hike. Market expectations about dissenting votes may shift if regional Fed presidents or governors publicly signal disagreement with the consensus view. Geopolitical shocks, financial stability concerns, or unexpected economic weakness could prompt either a rate move or internal disagreement. Treasury yield movements and broader market volatility also affect trader positioning in this combined outcome market.