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JOLTS Job Openings — April 2026
polymarket

JOLTS Job Openings — April 2026

Volume:
$12,239

7.2M+

 - Polymarket

7.2M+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 4:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

7.2M+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,707
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

6.8M–6.9M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6.9M–7.0M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6.7M–6.8M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

7.0M–7.1M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<6.5M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$761
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6.6M–6.7M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6.5M–6.6M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

7.1M–7.2M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in April 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in April 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on June 2, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from consensus economist forecasts because traders incorporate real-time sentiment, forward-looking signals, and tail-risk pricing that traditional surveys may lag. While analyst consensus typically clusters around a narrow range of job-opening estimates, prediction markets reflect the full distribution of outcomes traders believe possible. Comparing Polymarket odds to Bloomberg consensus or Federal Reserve survey expectations reveals whether the market is pricing in higher volatility, structural labor-market shifts, or recession risks that analysts have not yet fully priced in.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, JOLTS Job Openings — April 2026 is priced via an automated market maker that sets odds based on the ratio of shares bought and sold for each outcome bracket. Traders buy or sell shares corresponding to ranges of job openings, and the price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome. As new labor reports, Fed communications, or employment data arrive, traders adjust positions, shifting prices in real time. The market resolves when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the official April 2026 JOLTS report.

The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, following the official release of the April 2026 JOLTS report by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The outcome is determined by the total number of job openings reported in that release. Prediction market contracts are typically structured around specific outcome brackets—for example, ranges such as 8.0–8.5 million openings or 8.5–9.0 million openings. Whichever bracket contains the official figure triggers resolution and determines which outcome shares pay out.

Key catalysts include monthly employment reports (payroll, unemployment rate, wage growth), Federal Reserve policy announcements and rate decisions, corporate earnings calls and hiring guidance, and macroeconomic data on inflation and consumer spending. Recession signals, geopolitical shocks, or sudden shifts in business confidence can also reshape expectations for April job openings. Additionally, revisions to prior JOLTS reports may alter the baseline traders use to forecast April. Real-time labor-market commentary from Fed officials and changes in initial jobless claims will likely move odds as traders reassess the health of labor demand heading into spring 2026.