TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Politics
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
polymarket

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Volume:
$48,771

June 7

 - Polymarket

June 7 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 15, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

June 7

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$31,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

June 15

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the question: Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? It displays the current probability that such a meeting will occur, along with 24-hour trading volume and cumulative liquidity. The interface allows traders and observers to monitor how market sentiment shifts as new geopolitical developments emerge. This single-venue tracker provides a live snapshot of collective expectations among prediction market participants regarding Israeli-Lebanese diplomatic engagement within the specified timeframe.

Key catalysts include ceasefire agreements, UN-brokered peace initiatives, or statements from Israeli and Lebanese leadership signaling willingness to negotiate. Regional developments—such as Hezbollah actions, Israeli military operations, or international mediation efforts—directly influence market pricing. Announcements of scheduled talks, diplomatic envoy visits, or third-party facilitation (e.g., by the US, France, or Arab states) would likely spike odds upward. Conversely, escalations, political instability, or hardline rhetoric could reduce confidence in near-term diplomacy. Media reports of back-channel negotiations, confidence-building measures, or humanitarian agreements may also move prices. Traders monitor geopolitical news, official statements, and regional security developments closely as signals of diplomatic momentum heading toward the June 7, 2026 deadline.