TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Tour
All
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
polymarket

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Volume:
$198,458

March 24

 - Polymarket

March 24 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 30, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

March 24

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,864
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 27

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,820
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 30

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 31

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,946
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 28

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,762
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

March 29

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

March 26

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

March 18

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 19

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

March 20

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

March 21

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 22

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

March 23

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 25

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Greater Beirut on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact within Greater Beirut. For the purposes of this market, “Greater Beirut” refers to the continuous urbanized zone that encompasses all of the Beirut Governorate and the adjacent coastal and suburban municipalities of the Mount Lebanon Governorate. For this market, the geographic boundaries as defined in the map “Location of the Greater Beirut Area” (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Beirut-3ffb23044f.png) from Faour & Mhawej (2014), Mapping Urban Transitions in the Greater Beirut Area Using Different Space Platforms (https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/3/3/941) will be used. If the precise location of a strike cannot be clearly attributed to the defined territory based on the referenced map, it will not qualify. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the specified territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.