TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Politics
Iran Strike on Israel by...?
polymarket

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

Volume:
$6,294,122

February 28

 - Polymarket

February 28 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

February 28

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,006,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 31

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$251,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

December 31

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

January 31

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$581,878
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

January 15

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$364,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iran-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Israel is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any Iranian operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other Iranian government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land in Israeli territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.