TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which candidate will win the Democratic primary election for Iowa Governor. On Polymarket, Rob Sand holds the leading position at 99.5%, while Julie Stauch stands at 0.7%. The market will resolve based on the official results announced by the Iowa Democratic Party, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting if needed. Watch for the June 2, 2026 Democratic Primary election date, which will determine the final outcome and any potential second-round or run-off results.
Key catalysts for price movement include candidate endorsements from prominent Iowa Democrats, campaign funding announcements, debate performances, and local media coverage. Shifts in voter sentiment revealed through independent polling or internal campaign data can trigger significant trading. Candidate withdrawals or entry would dramatically reshape odds. Debate gaffes, scandal developments, or major policy announcements specific to Iowa issues like agriculture or manufacturing could sway trader expectations. Turnout projections and early voting patterns in the weeks before Jun 2, 2026 typically drive late-stage volatility.