TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the expected fluctuation in Iowa's regular gas prices on a specific future date. It reflects how analysts and the public anticipate changes in fuel costs based on economic indicators, supply chain dynamics, and seasonal demand patterns. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price meets or exceeds certain thresholds set by a trusted data source.
All markets resolve based on the average regular gas price in Iowa on October 25, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from $4.1550 to $4.2350. If the recorded price is strictly greater than a market’s specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The structure allows participants to assess probabilities across a spectrum of possible price outcomes, with higher thresholds representing increasingly optimistic forecasts for price increases. All thresholds are evaluated independently, meaning a single price can cause multiple markets to resolve as Yes or No depending on their individual conditions.