TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.8b
24H VOL:
$188,696,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,815,744,871
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,841,122,681
495,177
Markets across
36,711
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,823
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
12.5% to 15%
- Polymarket
12.5% to 15% - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 20, 2026
Latest in Health
Closed: Oct 20, 6:11 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to Intuitive Surgical's da Vinci procedure growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to Intuitive Surgical's da Vinci procedure growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different procedure growth outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, data releases, and overall market sentiment regarding Intuitive Surgical’s performance and the broader healthcare sector. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price fluctuations.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual Q3 da Vinci procedure growth percentage reported by Intuitive Surgical is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially reported growth rate, as disclosed in Intuitive Surgical’s quarterly earnings release. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the market. The market’s resolution is independent of any individual analyst’s opinion or prediction.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any news regarding unexpected delays in hospital capital expenditure budgets, which could impact da Vinci system purchases, would likely affect the market. Positive or negative clinical trial results related to procedures utilizing the da Vinci system could also be a major catalyst. Furthermore, any revisions to Intuitive Surgical’s guidance for the year, or broader economic indicators impacting healthcare spending, could lead to shifts in trader sentiment and subsequent price movements in this market.
