TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 4:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Intel (Pyth INTC/USD) on June 22, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Intel (Pyth INTC/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Intel (Pyth INTC/USD) captured on June 18, 2026, was $133.95426. Resolution source: Pyth INTC/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Intel (INTC) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 22, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which INTC is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting INTC during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Intel (Pyth INTC/USD) on June 22, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Intel (Pyth INTC/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Intel (Pyth INTC/USD) captured on June 18, 2026, was $133.95426. Resolution source: Pyth INTC/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Intel (INTC) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 22, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which INTC is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting INTC during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-time trader conviction rather than periodic research updates. While equity analysts issue quarterly or annual forecasts, this market updates continuously as new information emerges. Traders who monitor earnings reports, product announcements, and semiconductor industry trends can identify gaps between consensus estimates and market-implied probabilities. When prediction odds deviate significantly from analyst sentiment, it may signal either mispricing or early detection of shifting fundamentals that formal research has not yet incorporated.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on trader buy and sell activity. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Participants trade shares representing each outcome, and the platform's algorithm ensures continuous liquidity by dynamically updating the price as positions shift. The odds reflect the cumulative belief of all active traders at any moment. This mechanism encourages efficient price discovery because traders can enter or exit positions instantly, and arbitrage opportunities naturally align the market price with underlying probabilities.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether Intel's stock price closes above or below its opening level on the specified day. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact settlement time aligns with standard market close procedures, ensuring all relevant price data is captured before final determination.
Intel's daily stock movement is sensitive to earnings surprises, product announcements, semiconductor industry news, and macroeconomic shifts affecting tech valuations. Geopolitical developments affecting chip supply chains, competitive moves by rivals like AMD or TSMC, and shifts in Fed policy can all trigger rapid repricing. Intraday technical levels and options expiration activity may also influence volatility. Traders monitoring earnings calendars, analyst downgrades, and sector momentum can anticipate moves before they materialize in this market's odds.