TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Initial jobless claims for the week ending August 29, 2026
kalshi

Initial jobless claims for the week ending August 29, 2026

Volume:
$12,823

At least 200,000

 - Kalshi

At least 200,000 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 3, 8:25 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 200,000

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,249
N/A
N/A
$2,098
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 205,000

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,040
N/A
N/A
$1,726
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 190,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,012
N/A
N/A
$1,012
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 185,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
$367
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 195,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$253
N/A
N/A
$253
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 180,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 210,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,772
N/A
N/A
$2,868
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 215,000

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,722
N/A
N/A
$1,583
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 220,000

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,148
N/A
N/A
$1,144
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 225,000

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
$259
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 230,000

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

Initial jobless claims measure the number of people applying for unemployment benefits during a specific week, reflecting the health of the labor market and economic conditions. Tracking these claims helps economists and policymakers gauge the stability of employment and anticipate potential economic shifts. The outcome depends on the official government-reported figure for the week ending August 29, 2026.

Kalshi

This set of markets collectively evaluates whether initial jobless claims for the week ending August 29, 2026, meet or exceed various thresholds ranging from 180,000 to 230,000. Each market has a specific threshold, and if the officially reported number of claims equals or surpasses that threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of different levels of job market stress, with higher thresholds representing more severe labor market conditions. All markets share the same reporting source and resolution date, ensuring consistency across the range of outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the weekly jobless claims market dashboard displays real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $4,845 for the weekly jobless claims market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around expectations for initial jobless claims for the week ending August 29, 2026. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity, giving users insight into crowd-sourced forecasts for this economic indicator.

This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number will be drawn from the official U.S. Department of Labor release for the week ending August 29, 2026. Market participants will watch that announcement closely, as it sets the benchmark for settlement. No further interpretation or adjustment is needed once the government figure is published.

Key signals that could shift this market include preliminary employment indicators, such as weekly unemployment insurance applications, regional manufacturing surveys, and revisions to prior jobless claim figures. Major economic announcements — including Federal Reserve policy updates or sudden shifts in labor market conditions — may also cause rapid re-pricing. Media coverage of unexpected layoffs, industry-specific disruptions, or policy changes can influence trader sentiment in the days ahead of resolution.