TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 12:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which candidate will secure the Republican nomination for Indiana Secretary of State in the 2026 primary election. On Kalshi, David Shelton holds a leading probability of 75.0%, with an unnamed second candidate at 11.0%. The market will resolve based on the official results of Indiana's 2026 Secretary of State Republican primary, scheduled for May 12, 2026. Watch the primary election results on that date to determine the winner of the Republican nomination.
Each candidate's market resolves to Yes if that individual wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State Republican primary. All markets are eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
The Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee market resolves on Nov 3, 2026, coinciding with the conclusion of the Republican primary election process. Resolution is determined by the official outcome of the 2026 Indiana Republican primary for Secretary of State, as reported by the Indiana Election Commission or equivalent authoritative source. Once the primary winner is certified, the market settles to reflect the actual nominee. Traders should monitor official election calendars and state party announcements to track key dates leading up to resolution.
Key catalysts for price movement include candidate announcements or withdrawals, major endorsements from Indiana Republican leadership or national figures, fundraising reports showing financial strength or weakness, and local or national political developments affecting the GOP brand. Debate performances, media coverage, and grassroots organizing intensity can shift trader perception of viability. Changes in voter registration or turnout expectations in key Indiana counties may also influence odds. Additionally, unexpected scandals, legal issues, or strategic shifts by rivals could rapidly reprrice frontrunners. Traders monitor both formal campaign milestones and informal signals of momentum or decline.