TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Indiana gas prices tomorrow
kalshi

Indiana gas prices tomorrow

Volume:
$76,567

Above 3.8650

 - Kalshi

Above 3.8650 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.8650

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,599
N/A
N/A
$16,599
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.7850

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,194
N/A
N/A
$10,513
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8050

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,618
N/A
N/A
$8,575
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,927
N/A
N/A
$4,927
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.7800

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,917
N/A
N/A
$3,717
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8350

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,488
N/A
N/A
$3,488
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.7600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,088
N/A
N/A
$3,088
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.7700

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,681
N/A
N/A
$2,681
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.7900

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,815
N/A
N/A
$1,815
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,710
N/A
N/A
$1,710
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8550

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,701
N/A
N/A
$1,695
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,685
N/A
N/A
$1,685
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.7950

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,210
N/A
N/A
$1,210
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.7650

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.7750

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8250

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$766
N/A
N/A
$766
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$705
N/A
N/A
$704
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$687
N/A
N/A
$684
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8150

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
$681
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8750

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8450

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8700

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.8800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,680
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in Indiana over a single day, reflecting how fuel pricing can shift rapidly due to supply dynamics, local demand, and broader economic indicators. The outcome depends on whether the state's average regular gas price meets or exceeds specific thresholds at a set time.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for Indiana's average regular gas price on October 22, 2026, using data from AAA. Each market corresponds to a distinct price level, and the resolution hinges on whether the actual average price exceeds that specific threshold. If the price is strictly greater than the stated level for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same observation date and data source, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The structure allows participants to assess the probability of price movements relative to incrementally higher benchmarks, providing a granular view of market expectations for gasoline cost changes on that day.