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Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
polymarket

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium?

Sep 29, 2026, 11:56 AM EST - Dec 31, 2028, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$5,998,298
Volume 24h:
$2,140,140
360%
Liquidity:
$715,487
41%
Open interest:
$931,537N/A

December 31, 2028

 - Polymarket

December 31, 2028 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2029

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

27%chance
Amount

$

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At 28¢ buys you 357 shares | Odds: 27% Total Payout: $357 | Net Profit: $257 Multiplier: 3.57x | ROI: 257% | APY: 78% 809 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2028

Trade
27%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
2¢
$25,534
$619,534
0.24%
34%
N/A
2y 2mo 2w
active
polymarket

December 31, 2027

13%
Yes 14¢No 88¢
2¢
$471,851
$4,764,854
81%
130%
N/A
1y 2mo 2w
active
polymarket

June 30, 2027

10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$123,571
$401,448
0.81%
65%
N/A
8mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

December 31, 2026

2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
0.1¢
$94,531
$212,462
1%
110%
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
active
Total markets: 4

Intro

This market tracks whether the State of Indiana will enact a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2028. Currently, Polymarket gives a 22.0% probability to this outcome, while the probability of Indiana enacting a moratorium by December 31, 2027 is 14.5%. Resolution will be based on official information from the Indiana state government, as detailed in the resolution source. Traders should particularly watch for any legislative action taken before the end of the betting period on January 1, 2029, as this date determines whether a qualifying moratorium has been enacted.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Indiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies. Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment. Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify. The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings. This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment. The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Indiana; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Indiana data center moratorium tracks the current odds of enactment, the price history of contracts representing different resolution dates, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $2,139,417 and total volume to date is $5,998,576. Traders on Polymarket are expressing their beliefs about whether Indiana will enact a moratorium on new data centers, and the dashboard visualizes this collective forecast. This allows users to quickly assess the market's sentiment and track how it changes over time as new information becomes available.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional polling on the likelihood of the Indiana data center moratorium being enacted. While polls may capture public opinion, this market aggregates the views of informed traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Any discrepancies between this market and polling averages could indicate that traders possess unique insights or are reacting to information not fully reflected in public opinion surveys. It's important to consider both sources of information when evaluating the potential outcome.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the supply and demand for these contracts, with traders adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis of the situation. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2029, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will depend on whether the Indiana legislature enacts a moratorium on new data center construction before that date. The market will assess official legislative records and reports from reputable news sources to determine if a moratorium has been formally adopted into law. The outcome will be a simple binary determination: either a moratorium is enacted, or it is not.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Key legislative developments in Indiana, such as committee hearings, floor votes, and statements from key lawmakers, will be closely watched. Changes in energy policy or concerns about grid capacity could also influence the likelihood of a moratorium. Furthermore, any major announcements from data center companies regarding their investment plans in Indiana could shift market sentiment. Unexpected economic data or shifts in political priorities could also play a role in how this market evolves.