TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which candidate will win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election in South Korea. On Polymarket, Park Chan-dae holds a leading probability of 94.8%, while Yoo Jeong-bok stands at 5.3%. The market will resolve based on the official results reported by South Korea's National Election Commission. Watch for the election results on June 3, 2026, when voters will determine Incheon's next mayor.
Key catalysts for price movement include campaign announcements, candidate debates, endorsements from major political figures, and shifts in local or national political sentiment. Polling releases, voter registration changes, and media coverage of local issues—such as infrastructure, public safety, or economic development—can significantly impact trader expectations. International or national political developments affecting South Korea may also influence the race. Additionally, candidate health, scandals, or strategic campaign pivots could trigger sharp repricing on Polymarket as new information reaches traders before the Jun 3, 2026 resolution date.