TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Illinois gas prices tomorrow
kalshi

Illinois gas prices tomorrow

Volume:
$104,430

Above 4.8350

 - Kalshi

Above 4.8350 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.8350

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,311
N/A
N/A
$26,311
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,243
N/A
N/A
$4,490
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,057
N/A
N/A
$6,057
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8850

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,835
N/A
N/A
$5,017
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8750

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,845
N/A
N/A
$3,421
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8650

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,718
N/A
N/A
$3,694
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8700

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,534
N/A
N/A
$2,556
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,490
N/A
N/A
$1,837
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,917
N/A
N/A
$1,907
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.7900

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,894
N/A
N/A
$1,894
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.7700

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,705
N/A
N/A
$1,705
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,629
N/A
N/A
$1,629
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8550

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,371
N/A
N/A
$1,371
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,012
N/A
N/A
$2,000
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8050

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,714
N/A
N/A
$1,714
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.7750

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,694
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8150

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,694
N/A
N/A
$1,694
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,516
N/A
N/A
$1,210
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8250

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,012
N/A
N/A
$1,012
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.7950

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$786
N/A
N/A
$696
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8450

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$720
N/A
N/A
$720
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.7850

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$715
N/A
N/A
$715
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.8950

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$646
N/A
N/A
$327
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.7800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

This event tracks the expected fluctuation of regular gasoline prices in Illinois on a specific future date. It reflects how analysts and the public might anticipate changes in fuel costs based on economic indicators, supply chain dynamics, and seasonal demand patterns. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price meets or exceeds certain thresholds, offering a snapshot of market expectations for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the average regular gas price in Illinois on October 24, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from $4.7700 to $4.8500. If the recorded average price is strictly greater than a market's specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same resolution date and data source, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The structure allows participants to assess the probability of prices reaching various levels, effectively creating a detailed spectrum of possible outcomes for Illinois gas prices on the specified date.