TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Illinois gas prices tomorrow
kalshi

Illinois gas prices tomorrow

Volume:
$9,521

Above 4.6450

 - Kalshi

Above 4.6450 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.6450

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,211
N/A
N/A
$2,211
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.6400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,800
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.6350

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$851
N/A
N/A
$851
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.6500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$505
N/A
N/A
$505
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.6550

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$505
N/A
N/A
$505
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.6600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.6900

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.7150

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.6850

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.6950

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.7000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.7050

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.7100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.6650

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.6700

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.6750

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.6800

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in Illinois over a single day. It reflects how analysts and consumers might anticipate immediate changes in fuel pricing influenced by regional supply dynamics, seasonal demand, or unexpected disruptions. The outcome depends on a specific measurement taken at a set time, illustrating the volatility often seen in everyday economic indicators.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for Illinois regular gas prices on October 14, 2026, all sourced from AAA data. Each rule specifies a distinct price level, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the recorded average exceeds the corresponding threshold. With seventeen sequentially increasing thresholds—from $4.6350 up to $4.7150—the structure creates a tiered assessment where higher thresholds represent more extreme price outcomes. The resolution hinges entirely on whether the actual price crosses any of these boundaries, with each threshold acting as an independent pass/fail condition. No market-specific adjustments or secondary rules modify this core mechanism; the focus remains solely on comparing the observed price against the listed values.