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469,827
Markets across
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Democratic party
- Kalshi
Democratic party - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 16, 2027
Latest in Elections
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Illinois?
$
Intro
This market on Kalshi tracks whether the Republican party will win the Illinois Attorney General race for the 2027 term. The Democratic party outcome is priced at 99.0%, while the Republican party outcome stands at 8.5%. Resolution will be determined by whether a Republican representative is sworn in as Attorney General of Illinois for the term beginning in 2027, according to official state records. Watch for the general election results on Election Day and the subsequent swearing-in ceremony scheduled for January 16, 2027.
Kalshi
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as the Attorney General of Illinois for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as the Attorney General of Illinois for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the Illinois Attorney General race. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price movements indicate how traders are reacting to news and information related to the candidates and the race overall, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Jan 16, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Illinois Attorney General race is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results certified by the relevant election authorities. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances on Kalshi after the resolution process is complete. This provides a clear and transparent process for determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price action in this market before resolution. Major endorsements from influential figures, significant fundraising announcements, debates between candidates, and any unexpected developments in the campaigns could all shift trader sentiment. Polling data releases, while not the sole driver, will also likely impact the market, as will any legal challenges or controversies surrounding the candidates. Shifts in broader political trends or national events could also indirectly affect this market, influencing perceptions of the candidates’ chances in the Illinois Attorney General race.
