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402,751

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IA-02 Democratic nominee?
kalshi

IA-02 Democratic nominee?

Volume:
$2,794

Lindsay James

 - Kalshi

Lindsay James - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 10:36 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lindsay James

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,186
N/A
N/A
$1,361
1mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

Clint Twedt-Ball

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$607
N/A
N/A
$557
1mo 4d
No
kalshi

Kathy Dolter

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
1mo 4d
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Lindsay James will secure the Democratic Party's nomination to represent Iowa's 2nd congressional district in the 2026 House race. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 91.0%. The market resolves based on the official Democratic Party nomination for the IA-02 seat, with settlement tied to the 2026 general election on November 3, 2026. Watch the Democratic primary process in Iowa's 2nd district as the key signal for how this nomination contest unfolds.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate real-time information, campaign momentum, and insider knowledge that polls may lag. While polls provide snapshots of voter preference at specific moments, prediction markets reflect continuous reassessment by participants with financial stakes in the outcome. For IA-02, comparing market-implied probabilities to recent Democratic primary polls and analyst ratings can reveal whether traders are pricing in factors polls haven't yet captured.

Key catalysts for IA-02 Democratic nominee odds include endorsements from party leaders and local officials, campaign funding announcements, debate performance, primary election results from neighboring states, and shifts in voter sentiment captured by new polls. Candidate withdrawals or entries, media coverage of scandals or achievements, and grassroots organizing momentum can all trigger sharp repricing. Major national political events and changes in the broader Democratic primary landscape may also influence trader expectations for this district's nomination outcome.