TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Hyperliquid token price will close higher or lower during a specific four-hour window on May 29, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%, indicating an even split between traders expecting an upward or downward move. Resolution will be determined by comparing the Hyperliquid price at 8:00PM ET against the opening price at 4:00PM ET on that date, using Chainlink's HYPE-USD data feed as the official source. Watch for any major crypto market movements or Hyperliquid-specific announcements during the May 29 trading window, as these could shift positioning in the final hours before resolution.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations about Hyperliquid's directional movement during the May 29 window. These odds often diverge from spot price analysis because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment, upcoming catalysts, and risk premiums that traditional spot price expectations may not fully capture. Analysts and on-chain observers may forecast different probabilities based on technical analysis or fundamental factors. The prediction market price represents a crowd-sourced consensus that updates continuously as new information arrives, whereas spot price expectations remain static until explicitly revised by individual analysts.
On Polymarket, Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market, with shares trading between 0 and 1 cent. Traders profit by buying undervalued outcomes or selling overvalued ones before the market resolves. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily positions can be entered or exited, and prices adjust dynamically based on order flow and new information throughout the four-hour event window.
The market resolves on May 30, 2026 following the close of the four-hour trading window on May 29, 4:00PM–8:00PM ET. Resolution is determined by Hyperliquid's price movement during that specific period. Traders should monitor the exact closing time and price feed used by Polymarket to ensure they understand how the outcome will be officially determined. Any delays in price data or technical issues may affect the final resolution timestamp, so participants should review platform announcements as the event date approaches.
Several catalysts could influence Hyperliquid's price direction during the May 29 window. Major crypto market movements, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, regulatory announcements, and platform-specific news about Hyperliquid's exchange or token could trigger sharp moves. Macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, or shifts in broader risk sentiment may also impact the broader crypto market. Technical levels and order book imbalances on spot exchanges could amplify price swings. Traders should monitor social media, on-chain metrics, and news feeds closely in the hours leading up to the event window to anticipate potential volatility and adjust positions accordingly.