TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Hyperliquid token price will close higher or lower during the specified four-hour window on May 28 from 8:00PM to 12:00AM ET. The leading outcome currently stands at 0.0% on Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by comparing the Hyperliquid price at the end of the trading window against its opening price, using Chainlink's HYPE/USD data feed as the official source. Watch the market closely as the May 28 evening session approaches, as volatility during that specific four-hour window will directly determine the final outcome.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Hyperliquid's price direction during the May 28 window, often diverging from spot market sentiment or analyst forecasts. While spot exchanges show live trading and technical levels, prediction markets isolate a specific four-hour outcome, attracting traders focused on that discrete event. The odds can signal conviction that differs from broader market momentum, especially if major catalysts or news events are anticipated during that timeframe. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether prediction traders are pricing in information the spot market has not yet fully reflected.
On Polymarket, Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM is priced as a binary outcome contract, with each outcome share trading between 0 and 1 based on trader demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome directly reflects its implied probability; a price of 0.50 means the market assigns 50 percent odds to that outcome. Traders buy shares of their preferred outcome and profit if it resolves true. Polymarket's automated market maker and order book mechanisms ensure continuous pricing, allowing real-time entry and exit. The tighter the spread between bid and ask, the more liquid the market and the more reliable the price signal.
The market resolves at May 29, 2026, marking the end of the four-hour trading window specified in the event title. Resolution occurs after the market window closes and the final price data is confirmed. The outcome is determined by comparing Hyperliquid's price at the close of the window to its opening price at 8:00 PM ET on May 28. Traders who correctly predicted the direction of price movement receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the window close, once price feeds are finalized and verified.
Several catalysts could influence Hyperliquid's price direction during the May 28 window. Announcements regarding exchange upgrades, new trading pairs, or protocol improvements could drive bullish momentum. Regulatory news affecting crypto derivatives or Hyperliquid's operational status could trigger sharp moves in either direction. Broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings, and macro economic data released during that timeframe may create volatility. Technical levels and support or resistance zones established in preceding days could act as magnets for price action. Large liquidations or funding rate spikes on Hyperliquid itself might accelerate directional moves, while social media hype or whale trading activity could amplify short-term price pressure.