TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Volume:
$770

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 29, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$42 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$43 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$44 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$45 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$46 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$47 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$48 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$49 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$50 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$51 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$52 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$53 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$54 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$55 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$56 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$57 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$58 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$19 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$20 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$21 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$22 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$23 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$24 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$25 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether the Hyperliquid (HYPE) token price moves up or down during a specific 4-hour window on March 29, 2026 (4:00 PM–8:00 PM ET). Polymarket uses a simple price comparison at start vs. end of the window via Chainlink's HYPE/USD feed, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' UHYPEUSDRTI index with a 60-second average snapshot at 5:00 PM EDT only, creating a fundamental timing and methodology mismatch.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure fundamentally different things: Polymarket is a directional price-movement market over a 4-hour window using Chainlink data; Kalshi consists of 40 absolute price-level markets at a single 5:00 PM EDT snapshot using CF Benchmarks data. The timing windows, data sources, and resolution methodologies do not align.Hero tip: Treat these as separate, non-correlated markets. Polymarket resolves Up if price at 8:00 PM ET >= price at 4:00 PM ET (Chainlink HYPE/USD). Kalshi resolves Yes/No based on whether the 60-second CF Benchmarks average at 5:00 PM EDT exceeds each specific threshold. A price that rises from 4:00 PM to 5:00 PM but falls by 8:00 PM would resolve Up on Polymarket but may resolve differently on Kalshi depending on the 5:00 PM level. Verify your data feed and settlement time before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional market: Up if HYPE/USD price at 8:00 PM ET >= price at 4:00 PM ET; Down otherwise. Uses Chainlink HYPE/USD data stream. Captures full 4-hour price movement.
  • Kalshi: 40 separate Yes/No price-level markets. Each resolves Yes if CF Benchmarks UHYPEUSDRTI 60-second average before 5:00 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold ($18.9999 to $50.9999+). Snapshot-based at single moment (5:00 PM EDT), not directional.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.