TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Hyperliquid's price direction during the June 9 evening window, while spot price expectations come from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and analyst forecasts. Market odds integrate real-money incentives and collective intelligence from active traders, whereas analyst sentiment may emphasize longer-term fundamentals or macro conditions. Comparing the two reveals whether prediction market participants are more bullish or bearish than the broader crypto analyst community on Hyperliquid's near-term directional bias.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down movement during the four-hour window. The price of each outcome share reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome among active market participants.
The market resolves at Jun 10, 2026, marking the end of the four-hour trading window specified in the event title. Resolution occurs after the market observation period closes and the final price data is confirmed. The outcome is determined by comparing Hyperliquid's price at the start of the June 9 8:00PM ET window to its price at the conclusion of the 12:00AM ET window, establishing whether the net movement was upward or downward during this specific timeframe.
Key catalysts for Hyperliquid's price direction during this window include major crypto market moves, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, regulatory announcements affecting derivatives trading, platform updates or technical developments, and broader macroeconomic news released during the evening hours. On-chain activity, large liquidations, or shifts in perpetual futures funding rates could also trigger sharp moves. Additionally, sentiment shifts from social media, analyst calls, or unexpected news about Hyperliquid's ecosystem or competitive positioning may influence trader positioning and price action during the four-hour event window.