TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Hyperliquid's price direction during the specified four-hour window. These odds can be compared to spot price analysis from crypto analysts, technical forecasts, and on-chain sentiment metrics to gauge whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish momentum. If prediction odds diverge significantly from analyst consensus or historical volatility patterns, it may signal either contrarian positioning or emerging market information. Comparing these two perspectives helps traders identify potential mispricings or validate their directional thesis.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Hyperliquid Up or Down event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of shares held and traded for the up versus down scenarios. Prices fluctuate based on order flow, with each trade updating the market probability in real time. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the final settlement price is determined by the actual price movement of Hyperliquid during the June 8, 4:00PM–8:00PM ET window.
The Hyperliquid Up or Down market resolves on Jun 9, 2026. The outcome is determined by Hyperliquid's price movement during the specified four-hour trading window on June 8, from 4:00PM to 8:00PM ET. Traders should monitor the exact resolution criteria and data source used by Polymarket to ensure clarity on how the final price comparison will be calculated. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the market window closes, once the reference price has been confirmed.
Several catalysts could influence Hyperliquid's price during the June 8 window. Major crypto market movements, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, regulatory announcements, or platform-specific news about Hyperliquid's exchange or token could drive directional momentum. Macroeconomic events, Federal Reserve statements, or shifts in risk appetite may also impact the broader crypto market and Hyperliquid's performance. Technical levels, order book imbalances, and derivative liquidation cascades could trigger sharp intraday moves. Traders should monitor social sentiment, on-chain metrics, and market structure leading up to the event window to anticipate potential price drivers.