TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect collective trader expectations about Hyperliquid's price direction during the June 8 window. These odds often diverge from spot price technical analysis or analyst forecasts because they incorporate real-money incentives and live market sentiment. While spot traders may rely on chart patterns or momentum indicators, prediction market participants price in broader macro conditions, news flow, and event catalysts. Comparing the market's implied probability to independent analyst sentiment or historical volatility can reveal whether traders are pricing in elevated risk or opportunity.
On Polymarket, Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM is priced as a binary contract with two outcomes: Hyperliquid moves up or Hyperliquid moves down during the four-hour window. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). The current market odds reflect the aggregate demand for each side. Prices adjust continuously as new trades execute, and liquidity depth determines how easily large positions can be entered or exited without significant slippage.
The market resolves at Jun 8, 2026. Resolution is determined by Hyperliquid's price movement during the specified four-hour trading window on June 8, from 12:00PM to 4:00PM ET. The outcome depends on whether the closing price at 4:00PM ET is higher or lower than the opening price at 12:00PM ET. This is a time-bound event tied to a specific crypto asset's intraday price action, making it sensitive to volatility, news, and trading volume during that exact window.
Several catalysts could influence Hyperliquid's price direction during the June 8 window. Major crypto market moves, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, regulatory announcements, or platform-specific news about Hyperliquid could trigger sharp intraday swings. Broader macro events such as Federal Reserve statements, inflation data, or geopolitical developments may also impact crypto sentiment. Technical levels, options expiry, or liquidation cascades on leverage trading platforms could amplify moves. Traders should monitor social media, on-chain metrics, and order book depth leading up to the event window to anticipate directional bias.