TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds reflect collective trader expectations about Hyperliquid's price direction during that specific four-hour window, which may differ from longer-term spot price forecasts. While spot markets price Hyperliquid continuously across all timeframes, this event market isolates a narrow 4:00AM-8:00AM ET window, capturing concentrated sentiment about intraday volatility and momentum. Comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish momentum than the broader community expects during that precise interval.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Hyperliquid Up or Down is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" outcomes. The contract price reflects the market's consensus probability: a price of 0.65 means the market assigns roughly 65% odds to that outcome. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by holding until resolution. Polymarket's automated market maker model ensures continuous liquidity, allowing you to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time prices throughout the event window.
The market resolves at Jun 6, 2026 following the close of the four-hour trading window on June 6. Resolution is determined by comparing Hyperliquid's price at the end of the 8:00AM ET timestamp against its price at the 4:00AM ET start time. If the price is higher at 8:00AM, the "Up" outcome wins; if lower, "Down" wins. The exact price source and settlement methodology are specified in the market's terms on the platform, ensuring transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome.
Several catalysts could influence Hyperliquid's price during this window: major crypto market moves (Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility), regulatory announcements affecting the broader crypto sector, Hyperliquid-specific protocol updates or governance news, and macroeconomic data releases during early morning hours. Trading volume spikes, liquidation cascades on leveraged positions, and shifts in market sentiment around exchange-traded products or derivatives could also trigger sharp intraday moves. Monitoring social media, on-chain metrics, and futures funding rates leading up to June 6 can help you anticipate directional pressure within that narrow four-hour window.