TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect the aggregate belief of traders betting real capital on the outcome, which often diverges from casual sentiment or analyst forecasts. While spot price expectations may rely on technical indicators or fundamental analysis, prediction markets incorporate a financial incentive for accuracy. Comparing the odds here to published analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish momentum than conventional wisdom suggests for the four-hour trading window.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds for this market through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying shares for either outcome shifts the price in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into one side, the higher its price climbs toward 100 cents, and the lower the opposing outcome's price falls. This continuous repricing ensures that the market odds always reflect the latest consensus among active traders, with spreads tightening as the event window approaches and liquidity deepens.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the four-hour trading window has closed and the price movement can be verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing Hyperliquid's price at the start of the window to its price at the close, with the winning side confirmed through established market data feeds. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event conclusion, allowing traders to settle their positions and claim winnings.
Major crypto market catalysts—such as Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings, regulatory announcements, or shifts in broader risk sentiment—can drive significant movement in this market. Platform-specific news about Hyperliquid's trading volume, new feature launches, or exchange listings may also influence short-term price direction. Intraday technical levels, options expiry on other venues, and macroeconomic data releases during the four-hour window could all trigger volatility that traders will price into their positions.