TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader conviction about Hyperliquid's direction during the June 3rd window, whereas spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and broader crypto sentiment. Prediction markets embed real money incentives, making odds a forward-looking probability estimate. Spot price forecasts from analysts and trading communities may diverge from market odds if traders on Polymarket possess edge or if broader market participants underweight certain catalysts. Comparing the two reveals whether prediction market participants are more or less bullish than traditional technical or fundamental analysis suggests for this specific four-hour interval.
The market resolves after Jun 3, 2026, marking the end of the four-hour observation window on June 3rd. Resolution is determined by Hyperliquid's price movement during the specified 8:00AM–12:00PM ET interval. The outcome hinges on whether the asset closes higher or lower than its opening price at the start of that window. Once the interval closes, the final price is recorded and the market settles accordingly, with winning shares paying out and losing shares expiring worthless. Traders should monitor Hyperliquid's price action closely as the window approaches to refine their positions.
Several catalysts could influence Hyperliquid's price during the June 3rd window. Regulatory announcements or policy shifts affecting crypto derivatives could drive volatility. Major exchange listings, protocol upgrades, or governance decisions by the Hyperliquid team may spark directional moves. Broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum price action, and macroeconomic data releases on that morning could create tailwinds or headwinds. Social media momentum, whale transactions, or technical breakouts near key support and resistance levels may accelerate movement. Traders should monitor on-chain activity, funding rates, and open interest to gauge positioning and potential squeeze scenarios during the four-hour event window.