TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about HYPE's direction, while spot price expectations are shaped by real-time supply and demand on exchanges. This market captures forward-looking sentiment from participants willing to stake capital on their conviction. Prediction odds often diverge from current spot momentum because traders factor in upcoming catalysts, macro conditions, and longer-term positioning. Comparing this market's odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in information that spot markets have not yet fully reflected.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying shares for either outcome adjusts the price dynamically. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into one side, the higher that outcome's price climbs, and vice versa. This continuous repricing ensures the market reflects real-time conviction as new information emerges. Your entry and exit prices depend on the order flow and liquidity available at the moment you trade, making early positioning and timing key factors in your potential return.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the four-hour trading window closes and the final price movement can be verified. The outcome is confirmed by comparing HYPE's price at the start of the window to its price at the end, with the direction determined by credible public price data. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout proportional to the final odds. Resolution is typically finalized within hours of the window closing, pending confirmation from market data sources.
Major catalysts include Hyperliquid protocol announcements, updates to tokenomics or governance, shifts in broader crypto market sentiment, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings that often drag altcoins along. Regulatory news affecting decentralized exchanges or derivatives platforms could also sway trader positioning. Whale accumulation or large liquidation cascades visible on-chain may signal directional conviction. Macro economic data, Fed commentary, or shifts in risk appetite across traditional markets can ripple into crypto. Watch social sentiment and developer activity as secondary signals that might hint at near-term momentum.