TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations for Hyperliquid's directional movement during the June 2 window. These odds may diverge from spot price technical analysis or analyst forecasts, as prediction markets price in both fundamental sentiment and short-term volatility expectations. Comparing Polymarket odds to broader market sentiment, on-chain metrics, or analyst price targets can reveal whether traders are pricing in elevated risk or opportunity relative to conventional spot market views.
On Polymarket, the Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective probability estimate of Polymarket participants. Shares are typically priced between 0 and 1, where higher prices indicate stronger market conviction. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at competitive prices.
The market resolves at Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by Hyperliquid's price movement during the specified four-hour window on June 2, from 12:00AM to 4:00AM ET. The outcome hinges on whether the closing price at the end of the window is higher or lower than the opening price at the window's start. This binary structure makes the event straightforward to verify and settle once the time period concludes.
Several catalysts could influence Hyperliquid's price during this window. Major crypto market moves, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, regulatory announcements, or exchange-specific news could trigger directional momentum. Broader macroeconomic events overnight or early morning on June 2 may also impact sentiment. Additionally, derivative liquidations, funding rate shifts, or large order flow on Hyperliquid's platform could accelerate price swings. Traders should monitor on-chain activity, social sentiment, and technical support and resistance levels leading up to the event window.