TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about price direction, but they differ from spot price levels or technical analysis. While spot prices show current market value, odds here express the collective probability that Hyperliquid will move up or down. Traders often compare these odds to their own analysis of volatility, momentum, and macro conditions to identify mispricings. If you expect higher conviction in a direction than the odds suggest, this market offers a way to express that view and potentially profit if the outcome aligns with your thesis.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's implied probability, with shares trading between 0 and 100 cents. As traders place orders, the price adjusts to balance supply and demand. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price discovery, while lower volume can create wider bid-ask gaps. Your entry and exit prices depend on the order book depth at the moment you trade.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, after the four-hour observation window closes. The outcome is determined by verifying Hyperliquid's price movement against credible public sources, comparing the closing price at the end of the window to the opening price at the start. Once the price action is confirmed and the event is verifiable, the market settles to the winning outcome and traders receive payouts based on their position.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the window closes. Major crypto market moves, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, regulatory announcements, or platform-specific news about Hyperliquid could trigger directional bets. Macro economic data, Fed statements, or shifts in risk appetite across digital assets often influence short-term crypto price action. Technical levels, liquidation cascades, and large trader positioning can also create momentum. Monitoring on-chain activity, order book depth, and broader market sentiment will help you anticipate how this market may evolve.