TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market tracks whether the Hyperliquid ($HYPE) cryptocurrency token will be listed for spot purchase on the Binance exchange. Currently, the probability of Hyperliquid being listed on Binance by December 31, 2026, is 99.0% on the Opinion platform, with resolution determined by Binance and supplemented by credible reporting. Traders should closely watch for any official announcements from Binance regarding new listings, particularly as we approach the resolution date of December 31, 2026, which marks the end of the betting period for this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token Hyperliquid ($HYPE) is listed for spot purchase on Binance by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Binance, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to spot price expectations is complex, as this market concerns a future event rather than a current price. However, analysts and polls regarding the potential for new cryptocurrency listings on major exchanges often differ from the implied probabilities reflected in this market. If analysts widely believe a listing is unlikely, we might see lower probabilities here than in those external sources. Conversely, strong analyst conviction could drive up the implied probability within this market, potentially creating an arbitrage opportunity for informed traders.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether Binance officially announces the listing of Hyperliquid before that date. Any official announcement from Binance will be considered definitive. The market will then be settled based on this announcement, with payouts awarded to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official Binance channels for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Positive developments for Hyperliquid, such as increased trading volume, successful product launches, or strategic partnerships, could boost confidence and drive up the probability of a Binance listing. Conversely, regulatory hurdles, security breaches, or increased competition could negatively affect the market. Announcements from Binance regarding their listing criteria or future plans could also be influential. Any news related to the overall cryptocurrency market sentiment or Binance's expansion strategy could also move this market.