TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the HYPE/USDT cryptocurrency will close higher than or equal to its opening price during the one-hour candle beginning May 30, 2026 at 2PM ET. Currently trading at 50.0% on Polymarket, the market reflects equal conviction between an up close and a down close. Resolution will be determined by the Binance HYPE/USDT futures contract for the specified hourly candle, with the outcome settled based on whether the closing price meets or exceeds the opening price at the May 30, 2PM ET timestamp.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about HYPE's directional move by May 30, 2PM ET, but they differ from spot price forecasts because they price in specific threshold conditions and time windows. Spot price expectations from analysts or on-chain data may show bullish or bearish sentiment without accounting for volatility or the exact resolution criteria. The prediction market odds incorporate both direction and probability of hitting the threshold, making them a more precise gauge of event-specific outcomes than general price forecasts. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are more or less confident than broader market sentiment.
The HYPE Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether HYPE's price movement meets the specified directional and magnitude criteria at the exact time window defined in the contract terms. The outcome is settled based on verified price data from the designated source at the resolution timestamp. Traders should review the full contract specification to understand the exact threshold, price feed, and any conditions that may affect settlement. Once the event occurs and data is confirmed, the market automatically settles and winnings are distributed to holders of the correct outcome.
Several catalysts could shift HYPE Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET odds before resolution. Major announcements from the HYPE project, regulatory developments affecting crypto markets, Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings, and shifts in broader market sentiment can all influence trader expectations. Exchange listings, partnership news, or technical milestones may drive bullish positioning, while security concerns or competitive threats could favor the down outcome. Macroeconomic events and Fed policy changes also impact crypto volatility and directional bias. As May 30 approaches, traders will continuously reassess these factors, causing the market odds to drift toward whichever outcome appears more likely given new information.