TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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HYPE Up or Down - March 28, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

HYPE Up or Down - March 28, 5PM ET

Volume:
$83

HYPE Up or Down - March 28, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

HYPE Up or Down - March 28, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 16, 2026

Closed: Mar 28, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

HYPE Up or Down - March 28, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$18.9999 or below

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$19 to 19.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$20 to 20.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$21 to 21.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$22 to 22.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$23 to 23.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$24 to 24.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$25 to 25.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$26 to 26.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$27 to 27.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$28 to 28.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$29 to 29.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$30 to 30.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$31 to 31.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$32 to 32.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$33 to 33.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$34 to 34.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$35 to 35.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$36 to 36.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$37 to 37.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$38 to 38.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$39 to 39.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$40 to 40.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$41 to 41.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

These markets track whether HYPE/USDT will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on March 28, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance futures data (open vs. close price comparison), while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' UHYPEUSDRTI index with a 60-second average price snapshot. The markets measure directional price movement but rely on fundamentally different data sources and methodologies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use incompatible data sources (Binance HYPE/USDT futures candle vs. CF Benchmarks UHYPEUSDRTI index), incompatible measurement methodologies (open-close comparison vs. 60-second average), and incompatible resolution logic (binary Up/Down vs. universal Yes outcomes). These differences make it impossible for the same underlying price movement to resolve consistently across platforms.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate markets with different underlying assets and mechanics. Polymarket is a directional bet on Binance futures candle structure. Kalshi's market structure (all price ranges resolve Yes) suggests it may be a price-level or bracket market, not a directional hedge. Confirm the Kalshi market's actual intent with the platform before trading. Do not assume cross-platform arbitrage or hedging opportunities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional market on Binance HYPE/USDT 1-hour futures candle. Resolves Up if close price >= open price, Down otherwise. Uses official Binance futures data for the specified 1H candle. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: Price-level market using CF Benchmarks UHYPEUSDRTI index. Calculates simple average of 60 seconds of index data before 5 PM EDT. All 40 resolution conditions (from below $19.00 to above $56.9999) resolve to Yes, making this functionally a non-binary market. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks UHYPEUSDRTI before 5 PM EDT is [any price range], then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.