TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectation of HYPE's directional move by the June 7 deadline, while spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, analyst forecasts, and on-chain signals. The prediction market aggregates real-money bets with skin-in-the-game incentives, often capturing forward-looking sentiment faster than traditional analyst consensus. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket against independent price targets and social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to broader crypto market expectations.
On Polymarket, HYPE Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET is priced as a binary contract with two mutually exclusive outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome; the price of each share reflects its implied probability, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As new trades execute, prices adjust based on supply and demand. The current market price directly indicates how confident traders are in each direction, with higher prices signaling stronger conviction that outcome will occur by the June 7, 9PM ET deadline.
The HYPE Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET market resolves on Jun 8, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether HYPE's price movement meets or exceeds the specified threshold direction by the exact time stamp. The outcome is binary: either the up condition is satisfied or the down condition is satisfied. Once the resolution time passes, the market locks and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome. Traders should verify the exact price source and threshold parameters in the market details before trading.
Key catalysts for HYPE price movement include major crypto market rallies or selloffs, regulatory announcements affecting the broader ecosystem, HYPE-specific project updates or partnerships, and shifts in Bitcoin or Ethereum dominance. Macro events such as Federal Reserve policy changes or traditional market volatility can also ripple into crypto. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale transactions, and social sentiment spikes may signal trader conviction. Technical breakouts or breakdowns near key support and resistance levels could accelerate movement in either direction ahead of the June 7, 9PM ET snapshot.