TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about HYPE's directional move by the June 5 deadline, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot price expectations focus on near-term price action and volatility, prediction market odds incorporate longer-dated uncertainty, funding costs, and broader sentiment. Comparing the market's implied probability to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in more or less bullish conviction than other indicators suggest. This divergence often signals trading opportunities for contrarian positions.
On Polymarket, HYPE Up or Down - June 5, 7AM ET is priced as a binary contract where each outcome has a separate price reflecting its implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract trades continuously until resolution at Jun 5, 2026, with prices determined by order-book dynamics and trader demand. As new information emerges—whether from HYPE announcements, broader crypto market moves, or macroeconomic shifts—the price adjusts to reflect updated consensus. Traders buy the outcome they believe will occur, and the winning side settles at 1 unit of the platform's settlement currency.
The HYPE Up or Down - June 5, 7AM ET market resolves on Jun 5, 2026. At that moment, the contract's outcome is determined by whether HYPE's price movement meets or exceeds the specified threshold direction. Resolution is final once the market closes and the outcome is confirmed. Traders holding the winning side receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact settlement price and methodology are established in the market's terms at launch.
Several catalysts could shift HYPE Up or Down - June 5, 7AM ET odds before resolution. Major announcements from the HYPE team—product launches, partnerships, or tokenomics changes—often trigger sharp repricing. Broader crypto market movements, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, and regulatory news can also influence sentiment. Macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve decisions, and risk-on or risk-off sentiment in equities may drive capital flows into or out of altcoins. Social media momentum, whale transactions, and exchange inflows or outflows can signal conviction shifts among traders, moving the market probability in either direction.