TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on HYPE's price direction at a specific moment—3PM ET on June 4—rather than current spot price levels. While spot markets price HYPE continuously based on supply and demand, prediction markets isolate a single future point in time. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket to analyst forecasts or technical analysis can reveal whether traders expect volatility, consolidation, or directional movement. The prediction market odds represent aggregated bets on that specific snapshot, distinct from real-time spot trading.
On Polymarket, HYPE Up or Down - June 4, 3PM ET is priced through an automated market maker that converts order flow into real-time odds for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" positions, and the price of each share reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As traders place orders, the price adjusts to balance supply and demand. The current implied probability is visible on the market page, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at transparent, continuously updated prices.
The HYPE Up or Down - June 4, 3PM ET market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by HYPE's price direction at the specified 3PM ET timestamp on June 4. Traders should monitor the exact resolution criteria and data source published by Polymarket to understand how the outcome will be officially determined. The market will settle once the snapshot time passes and the final price is confirmed, paying out winning positions based on whether HYPE moved up or down from the reference level.
Several catalysts could shift HYPE's price direction before the June 4, 3PM ET snapshot. Major announcements from the HYPE team, partnership news, or product launches could drive bullish sentiment. Conversely, regulatory developments, market-wide crypto downturns, or negative sentiment shifts could pressure the price lower. Macroeconomic events, Bitcoin or Ethereum movements, and broader altcoin trends also influence HYPE's trajectory. Traders on Polymarket will likely adjust odds as these signals emerge, so monitoring news, social sentiment, and on-chain metrics can help inform trading decisions leading up to resolution.