TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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HYPE Up or Down - June 30, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Will HYPE/USDT close up or flat on June 30 at 5PM ET?

Volume:
$206

HYPE Up or Down - June 30, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

HYPE Up or Down - June 30, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

HYPE Up or Down - June 30, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
$93
Settled
No
kalshi

$66 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
kalshi

$67 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
kalshi

$68 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
No
kalshi

$42 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$43 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$44 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$45 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$46 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$47 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$48 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$49 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$50 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$51 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$52 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$53 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$54 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$55 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$56 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$57 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether HYPE token price moves up or down on June 30, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Kalshi offers 40 granular price-threshold markets (each resolving Yes if HYPEUSD_RTI 60-second average exceeds specific price points), while Polymarket offers a single binary Up/Down market based on Binance HYPE/USDT 1-hour candle open vs. close.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different price sources and calculation methods. Kalshi resolves on CF Benchmarks HYPEUSD_RTI 60-second average (40 distinct price thresholds), while Polymarket resolves on Binance HYPE/USDT 1-hour candle open vs. close comparison. The same token may show different price movements depending on which source is consulted.Hero tip: Traders should monitor both CF Benchmarks and Binance pricing independently leading up to June 30, 5 PM ET. If the two sources diverge significantly, Kalshi and Polymarket may resolve oppositely. Consider hedging across both platforms or choosing the one aligned with your preferred price oracle.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 40 separate Yes/No markets, each triggered if CF Benchmarks HYPEUSD_RTI 60-second average exceeds a specific threshold ($41.9999 to $80.9999 in ~$1-2 increments). All resolve Yes if threshold is breached; all resolve No if not. Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Single binary market: resolves Up if Binance HYPE/USDT 1-hour candle close >= open; resolves Down otherwise. Uses Binance futures pair only. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Up if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI data collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 30, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with each successive threshold set $1 higher than the previous one. An outcome resolves to Yes if the calculated average exceeds the threshold price specified for that outcome (e.g., $41.9999 for the $42 threshold, $42.9999 for the $43 threshold, and so forth through $80.9999 for the $81 threshold). The official price determination uses CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index rather than prices from other sources like Google or Coinbase, ensuring consistency across all price-based outcomes.