TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reveal what traders actually believe will happen, whereas spot price expectations often reflect current market sentiment without a specific time horizon. This market isolates a precise outcome—directional movement by a fixed date—allowing traders to express conviction more sharply than passive price observation alone. When odds diverge significantly from what analysts or on-chain metrics suggest, it often signals either mispricing or emerging information the broader market hasn't yet priced in. Comparing this market's odds to your own view of HYPE's near-term trajectory can highlight profitable trading opportunities.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where the price of each outcome adjusts based on order flow and liquidity depth. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more capital flows into the "Up" or "Down" side, the probability shifts to reflect the new balance of supply and demand. This continuous pricing model ensures transparent, real-time discovery of what the market believes about HYPE's directional move. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before resolution, and slippage depends on the size of their trade relative to available liquidity.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether HYPE's price at the specified snapshot time is higher or lower than the reference level established at market creation. Traders should monitor official exchange data and announcements as the date approaches to understand how the final price will be determined. Once the snapshot is taken and verified, the winning outcome is locked in and payouts are distributed accordingly.
Major catalysts for HYPE price movement include protocol announcements, ecosystem partnerships, regulatory developments affecting the broader crypto market, and macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite. On-chain metrics such as holder concentration, transaction volume, and smart contract activity can signal accumulation or distribution phases that traders may front-run. Sentiment shifts on social media and crypto news outlets often precede price moves, giving early traders an edge. Additionally, Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility frequently drag altcoins along, so monitoring broader market structure is essential for anticipating directional pressure on HYPE.