TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds often diverge from spot price expectations because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk premiums that spot markets may not fully price. While spot exchanges reflect current supply and demand, this market aggregates trader beliefs about directional movement over a specific timeframe. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts or technical indicators can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in more bullish or bearish momentum than traditional market signals suggest.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares of the up or down outcome, with the price of each share reflecting the current implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts in real time as new orders flow in, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before resolution. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices move and how tight the bid-ask spread remains throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome is determined by whether HYPE's price has moved up or down relative to its price at the event start time. Once the resolution window closes and the final price is established, Polymarket settles all positions and distributes winnings to holders of the correct outcome share.
Major catalysts include HYPE token announcements, broader crypto market momentum shifts, regulatory news affecting the token or its ecosystem, and macroeconomic events influencing risk appetite. Technical levels and support or resistance zones on spot exchanges can also trigger algorithmic trading that spills into prediction markets. Social media sentiment, developer updates, and partnership news are common drivers of directional conviction that traders price into this market ahead of the resolution deadline.