TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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HYPE Up or Down - June 17, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

HYPE Up or Down - June 17, 5PM ET

Volume:
$168

$68 or above

 - Kalshi

$68 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 17, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$68 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
$69
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HYPE Up or Down - June 17, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$53 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$54 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$55 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$56 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$57 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$67 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$74 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$75 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether the HYPE token price moves up or down on June 17, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket resolves based on Binance HYPE/USDT 1-hour candle open vs. close, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI 60-second average. The two platforms employ fundamentally different data sources and measurement methodologies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two independent data sources (Binance 1H candle vs. CF Benchmarks 60-second RTI average) and incompatible resolution logics (binary direction vs. 40 price thresholds) create structural divergence. Markets measure different aspects of price movement and will not necessarily resolve in alignment.Hero tip: Polymarket is a directional bet on Binance HYPE/USDT 1H candle open-to-close. Kalshi is a price-level bet on CF Benchmarks data. A Binance candle that closes up does not guarantee CF Benchmarks average exceeds $53. Conversely, CF Benchmarks could spike above $53 while Binance candle closes down. Trade each market independently based on your confidence in the respective data source.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on Binance HYPE/USDT 1H candle. Resolves Up if close >= open, Down otherwise. Single exchange, single pair, single 1-hour time window. Key Quote: 'The close and open displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 40 independent Yes/No markets, each tied to a distinct price threshold on CF Benchmarks HYPEUSD_RTI. All thresholds resolve Yes if 60-second average exceeds that level. Lowest threshold is $52.9999; highest is $91.9999. All resolve simultaneously at 5 PM ET. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold], then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD Real-Time Index (RTI) prices collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 17, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold; the market resolves to Yes for the outcome matching the final averaged price. For example, the '$53 or above' outcome resolves Yes if the average exceeds $52.9999, while '$54 or above' requires the average to exceed $53.9999. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the official price source, not alternative platforms like Google or Coinbase. Sixty individual RTI prices are sampled in the final minute before expiration, and their arithmetic mean determines the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Major catalysts include HYPE token announcements, broader crypto market sentiment shifts, regulatory developments affecting the token's ecosystem, and macroeconomic events impacting risk appetite. Exchange listings, partnership news, or changes in on-chain activity can trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, large trader positions or whale accumulation detected on-chain often precede directional moves, making whale-watching tools and social sentiment trackers valuable for anticipating this market's next leg.